Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green 10/13/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Miami (OH) winning 45% of simulations, and Bowling Green 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Miami (OH) commits fewer turnovers in 41% of simulations and they go on to win 60% when they take care of the ball. Bowling Green wins 72% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Zac Dysert is averaging 289 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Matt Schilz is averaging 263 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 77%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BG -7

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